Les sénateurs Charles Schumer (G) et Dick Durbin (D), et le leader de la majorité au Sénat Harry Reid. | Photo Reuters
À un jour de l'échéance fixée par le Trésor, le plan proposé par le président de la Chambre des représentants, John Boehner, a été rejeté par le Sénat. Suite à cela, Harry Reid, chef de la majorité démocrate au Sénat, a proposé quelques concessions dans l'espoir de voter un autre texte ce weekend, mais apparemment en vain.
Le défaut de paiement guette les États-Unis d'Amérique. Le 2 août, la date butoir fixée par le Trésor, les Démocrates et les Républicains ne parviennent toujours pas à trouver un accord sur le plafonnement de la dette. Vendredi, le Sénat dominé par les Démocrates a sans surprise rejeté par 59 voix contre 41 la proposition de loi républicaine votée deux heures plus tôt à une courte majorité par la Chambre des représentants dominée par les Républicains. Le plan Boehner prévoyait 917 G$ d'économies sur les dix prochaines années,
en échange de réductions budgétaires d'un montant équivalent, ainsi qu'un relèvement du plafond de la dette en deux temps. Le premier, avant le 2 août, d'un montant de 900 G$, et le second, à 2500 milliards, qui permettrait de tenir jusqu'à la fin de 2012, et serait voté au printemps 2012. Le problème, pour les Démocrates, est que ce vote interviendrait en pleine année électorale, ce qui risquerait de leur porter préjudice. En outre, au dernier moment, John Boehner a durci son plan pour convaincre les Républicains les plus conservateurs de la Chambre des représentants de voter pour; il avait déjà reporté le vote d'un jour, signe qu'il ne ralliait pas suffisamment de voix. Dans cette nouvelle version, le texte prévoyait comme condition au second relèvement du plafond, l’adoption d’un amendement constitutionnel imposant d’équilibrer le budget fédéral, une demande du Tea Party - ce qui compliquerait encore la chose, l’adoption d’un amendement constitutionnel nécessitant l’appui des trois quarts des élus du Sénat et de la Chambre.
Les Démocrates préfèreraient pour leur part un seul relèvement du plafond de la dette. Jusque-là, leur plan permettait d'économiser 2200 G$ sur 10 ans et relèverait a priori suffisamment le plafond de la dette pour tenir jusqu'en 2013. Mais Harry Reid, chef de la majorité démocrate au Sénat, l'a modifié tard vendredi soir en y intégrant des élements suggérés par le républicain Mitch McConnell, dans l'espoir de faire avancer les choses - et de le faire voter ce weekend. Cette nouvelle version permettrait au président Obama de relever le plafond en trois étapes. À l'aide d'un mécanisme législatif complexe, le Congrès pourrait approuver chaque hausse en n'ayant que l'appui du tiers des élus au Sénat et à la Chambre des représentants. Le texte prévoirait 2400 G$ d'économies sur dix ans, dont 1000 milliards lié au retrait américain d'Afghanistan. Mais aucun signe d'amélioration de semble émerger. "J'ai demandé à mon ami, le leader républicain (Mitch McConnell) de négocier et il a choisi de ne pas le faire, a déploré Harry Reid. C'est vraiment dommage. (...) Ils refusent de négocier avec nous."
Rappelons que parmi les principaux points d'achoppement figurent aussi les sources d'économie. Alors que le camp de Barack Obama s'oppose à l'option de coupes drastiques dans de nombreux budgets sociaux et à la restriction, à long terme, de la capacité d’action de l’État fédéral, le Grand Old Party (GOP), lui refuse d'augmenter les impôts des plus fortunés - le seul abandon des privilèges de l’ère Bush diminuerait à terme la dette publique américaine de 2000 G$, selon une étude publiée par JP Morgan vendredi, et de toucher au budget exorbitant de la défense. Enfin, les Républicains ne comptent pas donner une autorisation qui irait au-delà de l’élection présidentielle de novembre 2012.
LES GI POURRAIENT PAYER LE PRIX
Le Trésor, qui a atteint son plafond d'endettement en mai, a averti qu'il serait à court d'argent à la date-butoir du mardi 2 août. Or, il a besoin du feu vert du Congrès pour emprunter davantage. En effet, selon une spécificité américaine, ce seuil est déterminé par la branche législative du pouvoir. Concrètement, dans quatre jours, l’Amérique ne pourra plus rembourser ses créanciers, ni effectuer certaines dépenses. Le pays risquerait par ailleurs de voir sa note souveraine abaissée. Une perte du triple A, pour l'instant encore accordée par les trois principales agences de notation à la note de la dette souveraine américaine, provoquerait une hausse des taux d'intérêt pour se financer, et donc des répercussions semblables à celles d'une augmentation des impôts sur les Américains. Autre conséquence possible, a expliqué samedi le chef de l'état-major interarmées américain : les soldes des GI en Afghanistan pourraient par exemple ne plus être versées.
L'urgence a été mise en exergue vendredi avec la publication des chiffres du PIB américain : la croissance économique des États-Unis a atteint au deuxième trimestre 1,3% en rhythme annuel, un signe du ralentissement économique en 2011. Pour couronner le tout, le taux de croissance du premier trimestre a été révisé à la baisse, de 1,7% à 0,4%. Tout en appelant les Américains à "maintenir la pression" sur les élus de Washington, qui "presque plus de temps", Barack Obama a néanmoins conclu par une note optimiste, estimant samedi que les deux parties n'étaient "pas si loin l'une de l'autre".
Source : Parismatch.com
en échange de réductions budgétaires d'un montant équivalent, ainsi qu'un relèvement du plafond de la dette en deux temps. Le premier, avant le 2 août, d'un montant de 900 G$, et le second, à 2500 milliards, qui permettrait de tenir jusqu'à la fin de 2012, et serait voté au printemps 2012. Le problème, pour les Démocrates, est que ce vote interviendrait en pleine année électorale, ce qui risquerait de leur porter préjudice. En outre, au dernier moment, John Boehner a durci son plan pour convaincre les Républicains les plus conservateurs de la Chambre des représentants de voter pour; il avait déjà reporté le vote d'un jour, signe qu'il ne ralliait pas suffisamment de voix. Dans cette nouvelle version, le texte prévoyait comme condition au second relèvement du plafond, l’adoption d’un amendement constitutionnel imposant d’équilibrer le budget fédéral, une demande du Tea Party - ce qui compliquerait encore la chose, l’adoption d’un amendement constitutionnel nécessitant l’appui des trois quarts des élus du Sénat et de la Chambre.
Les Démocrates préfèreraient pour leur part un seul relèvement du plafond de la dette. Jusque-là, leur plan permettait d'économiser 2200 G$ sur 10 ans et relèverait a priori suffisamment le plafond de la dette pour tenir jusqu'en 2013. Mais Harry Reid, chef de la majorité démocrate au Sénat, l'a modifié tard vendredi soir en y intégrant des élements suggérés par le républicain Mitch McConnell, dans l'espoir de faire avancer les choses - et de le faire voter ce weekend. Cette nouvelle version permettrait au président Obama de relever le plafond en trois étapes. À l'aide d'un mécanisme législatif complexe, le Congrès pourrait approuver chaque hausse en n'ayant que l'appui du tiers des élus au Sénat et à la Chambre des représentants. Le texte prévoirait 2400 G$ d'économies sur dix ans, dont 1000 milliards lié au retrait américain d'Afghanistan. Mais aucun signe d'amélioration de semble émerger. "J'ai demandé à mon ami, le leader républicain (Mitch McConnell) de négocier et il a choisi de ne pas le faire, a déploré Harry Reid. C'est vraiment dommage. (...) Ils refusent de négocier avec nous."
Rappelons que parmi les principaux points d'achoppement figurent aussi les sources d'économie. Alors que le camp de Barack Obama s'oppose à l'option de coupes drastiques dans de nombreux budgets sociaux et à la restriction, à long terme, de la capacité d’action de l’État fédéral, le Grand Old Party (GOP), lui refuse d'augmenter les impôts des plus fortunés - le seul abandon des privilèges de l’ère Bush diminuerait à terme la dette publique américaine de 2000 G$, selon une étude publiée par JP Morgan vendredi, et de toucher au budget exorbitant de la défense. Enfin, les Républicains ne comptent pas donner une autorisation qui irait au-delà de l’élection présidentielle de novembre 2012.
LES GI POURRAIENT PAYER LE PRIX
Le Trésor, qui a atteint son plafond d'endettement en mai, a averti qu'il serait à court d'argent à la date-butoir du mardi 2 août. Or, il a besoin du feu vert du Congrès pour emprunter davantage. En effet, selon une spécificité américaine, ce seuil est déterminé par la branche législative du pouvoir. Concrètement, dans quatre jours, l’Amérique ne pourra plus rembourser ses créanciers, ni effectuer certaines dépenses. Le pays risquerait par ailleurs de voir sa note souveraine abaissée. Une perte du triple A, pour l'instant encore accordée par les trois principales agences de notation à la note de la dette souveraine américaine, provoquerait une hausse des taux d'intérêt pour se financer, et donc des répercussions semblables à celles d'une augmentation des impôts sur les Américains. Autre conséquence possible, a expliqué samedi le chef de l'état-major interarmées américain : les soldes des GI en Afghanistan pourraient par exemple ne plus être versées.
L'urgence a été mise en exergue vendredi avec la publication des chiffres du PIB américain : la croissance économique des États-Unis a atteint au deuxième trimestre 1,3% en rhythme annuel, un signe du ralentissement économique en 2011. Pour couronner le tout, le taux de croissance du premier trimestre a été révisé à la baisse, de 1,7% à 0,4%. Tout en appelant les Américains à "maintenir la pression" sur les élus de Washington, qui "presque plus de temps", Barack Obama a néanmoins conclu par une note optimiste, estimant samedi que les deux parties n'étaient "pas si loin l'une de l'autre".
Source : Parismatch.com
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